Well, that's what I get for predicting. Some big Obama victory! The Clinton campaign pulled off a truly stunning upset yesterday. I and all the other pundits were all wrong! There was an enormous turnout yesterday, and women went hugely for Clinton, while men went just as hugely (or very very close) for Obama. There was tremendous enthusiasm for both of them in New Hampshire.
On the GOP side I'll take my bows, though predicting this race was easy. Romney is indeed on life support as the pundits say, but then he has a lot of his own money and could keep going quite a while if he wants to. The GOP is now looking for anyone but McCain.
Sorry Uncle Larry, your boy Fred pulled in a truly pathetic 1%. He's a political corpse. It was the campaign that could have been, but never was, and now won't be. Oh, he'll do so-so in South Carolina, but no one's giving him any money. Its between McCain and Rooooooody and maybe Huckabee.
Bill Clinton finished a strong second in New Hampshire in 1992, making him the "comeback kid." Hillary finished a so-so first (there's no such thing as a so-so first!) making her the comeback woman. New Hampshire has indeed been kind to the Clintons. Both she and Barack will raise unprecedented boatloads of money over the next few weeks. If the race stays close it greatly increases the chances that Hillary will name Obama her vice if she wins. I think its fairly likely he'd take the job if he could get what he felt were solid assurances that he'd have a decent portfolio.
Stay tuned...
The FHQ+ Electoral College Projection (10/30/24)
3 weeks ago
3 comments:
OK Danny,
Precit South Carolina,
Hillary or Obama,
McCain or Rudy, or Huck, or Romney
I'll take this one. Obama in SC. His first chance at a state that is not lily white. On the republican side, Huckabee over McCain. The churchgoing people from the Palmetto state will fall all over themselves to vote for a preacher from Arkansas. Romney and Roody are pretty much ignoring SC, and I don't think McCain can get it done there, although I'm not writing him off now that he has some momentum. The more interesting question is, predict Michigan? Will Romney's roots there turn Michigan into the firewall he claims it to be?
hey, maybe I'm wrong. McCain seems to be polling well in SC. Of course, as we now know, polls have HUGE margins of error. But I still say Obama over Hilary in SC.
Post a Comment